OK, hot take: the US needs to stop selling postage stamps. We're increasingly headed towards a choice between having postage stamps or having a viable postal service, and given the choice between the two -- I'm not saying there aren't other options, of course, just that these are two of them -- I'd prefer to keep the postal service.
These piecemeal price increases can help USPS keep up, but nothing's going to really stem the tide of declining usage in the face of substantial, enduring service and financial obligations.
The current path is unsustainable, and would be so even without the ever-increasing problem posed by counterfeit postage. So, what to do?
I believe that the basic service obligation should be prioritized above all else -- meaning that every house, in every town, receives service.
As such, if they need to scale it back to five days a week rather than six, fine.
Furthermore, people complain about price increases -- but most of us are spending less money on postage, in aggregate, just because the vast majority of us mail far fewer letters than we used to.
So If they just raise prices to a dollar and leave it there for awhile, fine. Or maybe raise prices higher: as the graph above shows, letters in the US are still pretty cheap.
Next, deal with the other revenue problem: counterfeits.
Most Americans are conditioned to starting their search for goods online -
Amazon, Google, Temu, whatever. So it's natural for those who send the occasional letter to buy stamps online, and since we're also all conditioned to shop around for a deal, many end up (unknowingly) buying fakes.
The recent decision by USPS to summarily destroy all letters with counterfeit stamps strikes me as unfair: a lot of people who don't really know any better will be impacted.
And besides, counterfeits are so, so good these days -- only the most sophisticated collectors are likely to spot them.
Only sensible thing to do, sadly, is to get rid of postage stamps, and replace them with one-time use codes, labels, etc.
Maybe keep a carve-out for stamps with a face value of 32¢ and under, or something like that, so people can continue to use up their old stocks.
But counterfeiting forever stamps is just too easy, and it's depriving USPS of serious revenue.
Yeah, this would tick off a lot of collectors -- and even just people with a lot of stamps sitting around. But I don't really see how else the USPS will be able to continue as a going concern that upholds its obligations unless it takes aggressive action to go after problems on both the cost and revenue sides.